Climate

• History matching a toy model in waves.

• Weighting the CMIP6 ensemble by tas performance using the Sanderson et al. (2017) scheme

• Passing warming levels in the CMIP6 ensemble

• Expressing Uncertainty in TCR

JULES

• Analysis of JULES-ES-1p0 Wave01 SSP585 (in progress)

• Analysis of JULES-ES-1p0 Wave01 (in progress)

• Sensitivity analysis of an Earth system configuration of JULES (notebook)

• History matching an Earth system configuration of JULES

• History matching an Earth system configuration of JULES (notebook)

• A new design at NROY inputs for JULES-ES-1p0 (wave01)

• Emulator accuracy for JULES-ES-1p0

• The uncertainty quantification process for JULES

• Emulate JULES timeseries

• Calibrated prediction of JULES timeseries v1

Older JULES

• Visualising the input space of a large ensemble of the land surface model JULES

• Constraining the input space of an Earth system configuration of JULES

Covid

• Create a latin hypercube design for MetaWards parameters

• Sensitivity analysis of MetaWards with an emulator

• Sensitivity analysis of MetaWards - national cumulative infections at lockdown

• Weekly new COVID cases in England (data vignette)

• Metawards Wave03 sensitivity analysis with DiceKriging

• Metawards Wave04 sensitivity analysis with DiceKriging

• Local Coronavirus tracker

Paper code

• McNeall, D, J.williams, B.Booth, R. Betts, P.Challenor, P. Good and A. Wiltshire (2020) “Correcting a climate model bias with an augmented emulator”, accepted for Geoscientific Model Development

• McNeall, D., J. Williams, B. Booth, R. Betts, P. Challenor, A. Wiltshire, and D. Sexton (2016) “The impact of structural error on parameter constraint in a climate model”, Earth System Dynamics

Student projects

• climate model run-failure emulator (SVM)

• climate model run-failure emulator (random forest)

• High dimensional Gaussian Process emulator through PCA

• #endrainbow tweets analysis

Other stuff

• Predicting the targeting of tail-anchored proteins to subcellular compartments in mammalian cells